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Gold Price Forecast: XAU/USD edges higher above $4,300 on Fed rate cut bets
Gold Price Forecast: XAU/USD edges higher above $4,300 on Fed rate cut bets
Gold price (XAU/USD) attracts some buyers to around $4,315 during the early Asian trading hours on Monday. The precious metal extends its upside to the highest since October 21 amid the prospect of interest rate cuts by the US Federal Reserve (Fed) next year.
Commodities
Gold
XAUUSD
Macroeconomics
China November new house prices -0.4% m/m and -2.4% y/y
China November new house prices -0.4% m/m and -2.4% y/y
China November house prices continue the vicious downward spiral
China Stock Market
China
GBP/USD holds steady above mid-1.3300s as traders await key data and BoE this week
GBP/USD holds steady above mid-1.3300s as traders await key data and BoE this week
The GBP/USD pair remains on the defensive during the Asian session on Monday, though it lacks bearish conviction and holds above the 200-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) pivotal support. Spot prices currently trade around the 1.3360 region, nearly unchanged for the day.
GBPUSD
Fed
InterestRate
BOE
Currencies
PBOC sets USD/CNY reference rate at 7.0656 vs. 7.0638 previous
PBOC sets USD/CNY reference rate at 7.0656 vs. 7.0638 previous
On Monday, the People’s Bank of China (PBOC) sets the USD/CNY central rate for the trading session ahead at 7.0656 compared to Friday's fix of 7.0638.
USDCNY
PBOC
CentralBanks
Currencies
PBOC sets USD/ CNY reference rate for today at 7.0656 (vs. estimate at 7.0569)
PBOC sets USD/ CNY reference rate for today at 7.0656 (vs. estimate at 7.0569)
PBOC CNY reference rate setting for the trading session ahead.
CNY
CNH
pboc
EUR/USD trades with negative bias around 1.1730 amid recovering USD; downside seems limited
EUR/USD trades with negative bias around 1.1730 amid recovering USD; downside seems limited
The EUR/USD pair kicks off the new week on a softer note, though it remains within striking distance of the highest level since early October, touched last Thursday. Spot prices currently trade around the 1.1730 region, down less than 0.10% for the day.
EURUSD
Fed
NFP
ECB
Currencies
BoJ official: Tankan survey shows easing trade fears but rising cost pressures
BoJ official: Tankan survey shows easing trade fears but rising cost pressures
Japanese firms cited easing uncertainty around US trade policy and resilient demand in high-tech sectors as key factors supporting business sentiment, according to comments from a senior Bank of Japan (BoJ) official on the Tankan survey.
Japan
Macroeconomics
BOJ
Ukraine offers to drop NATO bid as Trump envoy sees progress in peace talks — Reuters
Ukraine offers to drop NATO bid as Trump envoy sees progress in peace talks — Reuters
Ukraine’s President Volodymyr Zelenskiy offered to drop its long-held ambition of joining NATO as he held five hours of talks with US envoys in Berlin on Sunday to end the war with Russia, with talks expected to resume Monday, Reuters reported on Sunday.
RiskAversion
Ukraine
UnitedStates
PBOC is expected to set the USD/CNY reference rate at 7.0569 – Reuters estimate
PBOC is expected to set the USD/CNY reference rate at 7.0569 – Reuters estimate
PBOC CNY reference rate setting for the trading session ahead.
CNY
CNH
pboc
BOJ official says Tankan shows easing trade fears but rising cost pressures
BOJ official says Tankan shows easing trade fears but rising cost pressures
Easing U.S. trade uncertainty, strong AI and chip demand and improved cost pass-through as positives in the BOJ’s Tankan survey, while warning that labour shortages, rising costs and weak consumption remain key risks.
BOJ
JPY
Sixteen killed in terror shooting at Bondi Beach — Bloomberg
Sixteen killed in terror shooting at Bondi Beach — Bloomberg
A mass shooting at Bondi Beach in the Australian city of Sydney has killed at least 16 people and wounded 40. The officials stated that the death toll includes two police officers and at least one child, Bloomberg reported on Sunday.
Australia
Macroeconomics
AUDUSD
UK asking house prices fall sharply in December, Rightmove says
UK asking house prices fall sharply in December, Rightmove says
The data point to lingering caution in the UK housing market, reinforcing a soft near-term outlook while leaving scope for recovery if economic certainty improves.
When are the China Retail Sales, Industrial Production and how could they affect AUD/USD?
When are the China Retail Sales, Industrial Production and how could they affect AUD/USD?
The National Bureau of Statistics of China (NBS) will publish its data for November at 02.00 GMT. Retail Sales is expected to show an increase of 2.9% year-over-year (YoY) in November. Meanwhile, Industrial Production is projected to show a rise of 5.0% YoY in the same period versus 4.9% prior.
AUDUSD
RetailSales
China
Macroeconomics
IndustrialProduction
Japan's Large Manufacturing Index rises to 15.0 in the fouth quarter (Q4) of 2025 – Tankan survey
Japan's Large Manufacturing Index rises to 15.0 in the fouth quarter (Q4) of 2025 – Tankan survey
Business confidence at large manufacturers in Japan rose to 15.0 in the fourth quarter (Q4) of 2025 from 14.0 in Q3, according to the Bank of Japan's quarterly Tankan survey on Tuesday. This reading came in line with the market consensus.
Japan
Macroeconomics
Manufacturing
EconomicIndicator
China to issue ultra-long-term special government bonds next year — Bloomberg
China to issue ultra-long-term special government bonds next year — Bloomberg
China’s finance ministry said that the government planned to issue ultra-long-term special government bonds in 2026, with proceeds used to support key national strategies and security initiatives, Bloomberg reported on Saturday. 
China
Macroeconomics
FiscalPolicy
USD/JPY weakens below 156.00 amid Fed rate cut outlook, BoJ rate hike anticipation
USD/JPY weakens below 156.00 amid Fed rate cut outlook, BoJ rate hike anticipation
The USD/JPY pair trades on a negative note near 155.75 during the early Asian session on Monday. The US Dollar (USD) softens against the Japanese Yen (JPY) amid the prospect of interest rate cuts by the US Federal Reserve (Fed) next year.
USDJPY
Majors
Macroeconomics
BOJ
NZD forecast downgraded as NZIER cuts near-term growth outlook
NZD forecast downgraded as NZIER cuts near-term growth outlook
The downgrade reinforces a bearish near-term NZD narrative, with limited yield support and slow growth likely to keep the currency under pressure despite improving medium-term fundamentals.
RBNZ
NZD
Intervention watch - South Korea extends bond market stabilisation programmes into 2026
Intervention watch - South Korea extends bond market stabilisation programmes into 2026
South Korea is extending its bond market stabilisation measures into 2026 as rising yields and FX volatility keep financial risks elevated.
Bonds
KRW
Fortescue to buy remaining stake in Alta Copper for CAD139m
Fortescue to buy remaining stake in Alta Copper for CAD139m
The acquisition underscores Fortescue’s strategic pivot toward copper amid structurally strong demand, with limited balance-sheet impact given the deal’s modest size.
SPX
AUD
CAD
Early market response cite Bondi terrorist attack as AUD weight
Early market response cite Bondi terrorist attack as AUD weight
A terrible killing spree at Bondi Beach over the weekend
General
AUD
Musk says small nuclear reactors 'super dumb'
Musk says small nuclear reactors 'super dumb'
Musk coming out in favour or solar energy
General
China to issue ultra-long-term bonds to fund strategic priorities - weekend announcement
China to issue ultra-long-term bonds to fund strategic priorities - weekend announcement
The announcement signals continued fiscal support for growth and industrial upgrading, though the lack of project detail may limit near-term market reaction.
Hassett says Trump is a lightweight on the Federal Reserve
Hassett says Trump is a lightweight on the Federal Reserve
Hassett says Trump would have “no weight” on Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) interest-rate decisions.
Politics
Fed
RBNZ files civil proceedings against ASB over Anti-Money Laundering breaches
RBNZ files civil proceedings against ASB over Anti-Money Laundering breaches
The action underscores ongoing regulatory scrutiny of New Zealand banks’ AML controls, though the financial impact on ASB is limited and unlikely to have broader market implications.
RBNZ
NZD
Ukraine offers to drop NATO bid as U.S.-led peace talks continue
Ukraine offers to drop NATO bid as U.S.-led peace talks continue
Signs of progress in peace talks may support European risk sentiment and cap geopolitical risk premia, though uncertainty around security guarantees and territorial issues remains high.
Oil
ukraine
New Zealand services sector sinks deeper into contraction in November
New Zealand services sector sinks deeper into contraction in November
The weak PSI reinforces a soft domestic demand narrative and adds to the case for the RBNZ to remain dovish, keeping downside pressure on NZD and front-end rates.
Economic and event calendar in Asia Monday, December 15, 2025: RBA, BoJ Tankan, China data
Economic and event calendar in Asia Monday, December 15, 2025: RBA, BoJ Tankan, China data
A senior official from the Reserve Bank of Australia is speaking today, no calendars have noted this, so I have.
RBA
economic calendar
Monday morning open levels - indicative forex prices - 15 December 2025
Monday morning open levels - indicative forex prices - 15 December 2025
Good morning, afternoon or evening to all ForexLive traders and welcome to the start of the new FX week.
oneZero, Finalto, OpenFX and More: Executive Moves of the Week
oneZero, Finalto, OpenFX and More: Executive Moves of the Week
oneZero marketing head exits . As the year winds down, leadership reshuffles remain active. Talia Geberovich, previously Head of Marketing and Communications at oneZero, left the company to launch ...
executive moves
Finalto
Weekly Recap: FXCM, Tradu to Slash 100+ Jobs; 1/3 of eToro Trades Now in 24/5 Extended Market Hours
Weekly Recap: FXCM, Tradu to Slash 100+ Jobs; 1/3 of eToro Trades Now in 24/5 Extended Market Hours
Tradu, FXCM to slash jobs citing agentic AI . As the year winds down, this week still delivered plenty for brokers. FXCM and Tradu’s parent company i s preparing to cut more than 100 jobs .
editor's pick
eToro FXCM
investingLive Americas FX news wrap 12 Dec Tech sector falls. Fed officials get to speak.
investingLive Americas FX news wrap 12 Dec Tech sector falls. Fed officials get to speak.
Forex news for North American trading on Dec 12, 2025
Session wrap
Wrap Nth America
Trump eyes Warsh and Hassett as top contenders to replace Powell in 2026 - WSJ
Trump eyes Warsh and Hassett as top contenders to replace Powell in 2026 - WSJ
In an interview with the Wall Street Journal, the US President Donald Trump revealed that he is leaning on former Fed Governor Kevin Warsh and also on the National Economic Council Director Kevin Hassett to lead the Federal Reserve since May 2026.
Fed
UnitedStates
DollarIndex
Politics
OfficialTrump
Silver Price Analysis: Drops after hitting all-time high, retracement risk looms
Silver Price Analysis: Drops after hitting all-time high, retracement risk looms
Silver prices plunges after hitting an all-time high (ATH) of $64.65 losses 2.75% as investors book profits ahead of the weekend, as Federal Reserve officials remain divided about future monetary policy meetings. At the time of writing, XAG/USD trades at $61.84.
Technical Analysis
XAGUSD
Silver
Metals
USDJPY weekly technical outlook: Price squeezed between key moving averages
USDJPY weekly technical outlook: Price squeezed between key moving averages
After a volatile week, the pair settles near the midpoint, setting up a technical showdown for next week.
JPY
USD
Crude oil settling lower by 0.28%
Crude oil settling lower by 0.28%
Crude oil futures settle at $57.44, down $0.16 or -0.28%
Gold remains bid as lack of Fed clarity and geopolitical frictions persist
Gold remains bid as lack of Fed clarity and geopolitical frictions persist
Gold (XAU/USD) advances modestly on Friday as traders seem to book profits ahead of the weekend, yet clings to gains of over 0.51% after reaching a seven-week high of $4,353. At the time of writing, XAU/USD trades at $4,302 as traders digest comments from Federal Reserve (Fed) officials.
Gold
XAUUSD
Technical Analysis
Fundamental Analysis
SEO
“Prop Isn’t Finished, but If You’re Coming into Prop Now, You Are,” FMLS:25 Takeaways
“Prop Isn’t Finished, but If You’re Coming into Prop Now, You Are,” FMLS:25 Takeaways
At this year’s FMLS:25 in London, the “Craft Stage” was packed for a spirited debate on the future of proprietary trading. . Moderated by Yam Yehoshua, the Editor-in-Chief of Finance Magnates, the ...
Dow Jones Industrial Average retreats from record highs but poised for weekly gain
Dow Jones Industrial Average retreats from record highs but poised for weekly gain
The Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) retreated from record intraday highs on Friday alongside its major index peers as investors continued rotating out of technology and into value-oriented sectors. The Dow briefly hit a new intraday record before pulling back 0.30%.
DowJones
Equities
SEO
Broker Rebates